FairValue

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Viktor

Okishor

AMRussia · Dynamo Moscow

№ 939068Emerging €1.6M −0.81

Player dossierPremier Liga

ViktorOkishor

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Dynamo Moscow
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
19
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Okishor at €700k. Model A, which never saw Okishor during training, estimates €1.6M: the market value is 55% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.24. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.81A €1.6M▼ −1.01B €1.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
24
Minutes
661
Goals
3
Assists
3
Started
7/24
Min / app
28
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Okishor…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €1.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Viktor Okishor's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 98th, Assists per 90 99th, Minutes, two years 5th, Starts 5th, Minutes, last 365 days 10th, European club minutes 30th98thGoals99thAssists5thMinutes5thStarts10thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.41 this player0.09 midfielder median99th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Aug 2024
Peak
€700k
May 2026
Model target
€700k
May 2026
Valuations
6
1 club change
May 2026€700kDynamo MoscowValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €700k, Dynamo Moscow. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2024-08-05€250kDynamo 2 Moscow
2024-09-18€500kDynamo 2 Moscow
2024-12-12€500kDynamo 2 Moscow
2025-06-04€500kDynamo 2 Moscow
2025-12-16€500kDynamo Moscow
2026-05-26€700kDynamo Moscow

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.808

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 24% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 23% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Okishor appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).