Rafiu
Durosinmi
CFNigeria · Pisa Sporting Club
Player dossierSerie A
RafiuDurosinmi
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Pisa Sporting Club
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Nigeria
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 192 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Serie AReading the valuation
The market values Durosinmi at €7M. Model A, which never saw Durosinmi during training, estimates €4.4M: the market value is 58% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.58. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 26
- Minutes
- 1,417
- Goals
- 7
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 16/26
- Min / app
- 55
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Durosinmi…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
70% this player0% attacker median100th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €125k
- Dec 2021
- Peak
- €7.5M
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €7M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 13
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €7M, Pisa Sporting Club. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-26 | €125k | MFK Karvina U19 |
| 2022-06-22 | €200k | MFK Karvina |
| 2022-12-14 | €250k | MFK Karvina |
| 2023-06-20 | €700k | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2023-09-20 | €2M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2023-12-20 | €5M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2024-06-05 | €4.5M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2024-12-20 | €4M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2025-04-01 | €7M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2025-06-17 | €7M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2025-09-23 | €6.5M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2025-12-22 | €7.5M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2026-05-29 | €7M | Pisa Sporting Club |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.459
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 55% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 70% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Durosinmi appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BerardiRWUS Sassuolo · Serie A€7M
- CristanteDMAS Roma · Serie A€7M
- HermosoCBAS Roma · Serie A€7M
- SimeoneCFTorino FC · Serie A€7M
- LewandowskiCFFC Barcelona · attackers€7M
- HonoratRWBorussia Mönchengladbach · attackers€7M
- CernyRWBesiktas JK · attackers€7M
- ÜnalCFAFC Bournemouth · attackers€7M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).