Mykola
Ogarkov
LBUkraine · FC Oleksandriya
Player dossierPremier Liha
MykolaOgarkov
LBLeft-BackDefender
- Club
- FC Oleksandriya
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Ukraine
- Age
- 21
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 2 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Ogarkov at €400k. Model A, which never saw Ogarkov during training, estimates €369k: the market value is 8% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 21
- Minutes
- 1,602
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 19/21
- Min / app
- 76
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ogarkov…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
90% this player83% defender median70th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Jun 2025
- Peak
- €400k
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €400k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 3
- 1 club change
Jun 2026: €400k, FC Oleksandriya. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-10 | €100k | Shakhtar Donetsk U19 |
| 2025-12-18 | €400k | FC Oleksandriya |
| 2026-06-02 | €400k | FC Oleksandriya |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.080
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
Valued above 40% of the 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 14% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ogarkov appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KyryukhantsevRBEpicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi · Premier Liha€400k
- BurdaCBKolos Kovalivka · Premier Liha€400k
- KharatinDMNK Veres Rivne · Premier Liha€400k
- PolegenkoRBObolon Kyiv · Premier Liha€400k
- YoungRBIpswich Town · defenders€400k
- LovrenCBPAOK Thessaloniki · defenders€400k
- VogtCBVfL Bochum · defenders€400k
- SavicCBTrabzonspor · defenders€400k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).