FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Portrait of Ismaël Koné

Ismaël

Koné

CMCanada · US Sassuolo

№ 921655Elite €13.9M +0.59

Photo: Bryan Berlin / WikiPortraits, CC BY-SA 4.0 (background removed)

Player dossierSerie A

IsmaëlKoné

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
US Sassuolo
League
Serie A
Nationality
Canada
Age
23
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Koné at €25M. Model A, which never saw Koné during training, estimates €13.9M: the market value is 80% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.80. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.59A €13.9M▲ +1.12B €8.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
57
Minutes
3,666
Goals
8
Assists
1
Started
41/57
Min / app
64
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Koné…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €25M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €25MModel A €13.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Ismaël Koné's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 82nd, Assists per 90 18th, Minutes, two years 68th, Starts 56th, Minutes, last 365 days 88th, European club minutes 30th82ndGoals18thAssists68thMinutes56thStarts88thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,841 this player1,541 midfielder median88th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Nov 2021
Peak
€25M
May 2026
Model target
€25M
May 2026
Valuations
15
4 club changes
May 2026€25MUS SassuoloValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €25M, US Sassuolo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-11-09€50kCF Montréal
2022-03-27€1MCF Montréal
2022-08-18€4.5MCF Montréal
2022-11-08€6MCF Montréal
2023-06-01€10MWatford FC
2023-12-21€11MWatford FC
2024-05-24€11MWatford FC
2024-10-07€12MOlympique Marseille
2024-12-10€12MOlympique Marseille
2025-03-24€10MStade Rennais FC
2025-06-03€9MStade Rennais FC
2025-10-07€12MUS Sassuolo
2025-12-23€14MUS Sassuolo
2026-03-24€20MUS Sassuolo
2026-05-29€25MUS Sassuolo

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.590

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 88% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€25MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 91% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€25MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Koné appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).