Jeanuël
Belocian
CBFrance · VfL Wolfsburg
Player dossierBundesliga
JeanuëlBelocian
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- VfL Wolfsburg
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- France
- Age
- 21
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Belocian at €12M. Model A, which never saw Belocian during training, estimates €9.3M: the market value is 29% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 34
- Minutes
- 1,988
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 22/34
- Min / app
- 58
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Belocian…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
7% this player0% defender median69th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €500k
- Mar 2022
- Peak
- €20M
- Oct 2024
- Model target
- €12M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 15
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €12M, VfL Wolfsburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-23 | €500k | Stade Rennais FC U19 |
| 2022-05-30 | €500k | Stade Rennais FC U19 |
| 2022-11-02 | €500k | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2023-03-27 | €4M | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2023-06-27 | €7M | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2023-12-18 | €9M | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2024-03-19 | €10M | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2024-06-03 | €10M | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2024-10-09 | €20M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2024-12-20 | €20M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2025-03-27 | €15M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2025-06-05 | €15M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2025-10-14 | €12M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2025-12-19 | €12M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2026-05-27 | €12M | VfL Wolfsburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.257
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 70% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 84% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Belocian appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GoretzkaCMBayern Munich · Bundesliga€12M
- NübelGKVfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga€12M
- DahmenGKFC Augsburg · Bundesliga€12M
- FührichLWVfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga€12M
- AkéCBManchester City · defenders€12M
- StonesCBManchester City · defenders€12M
- KehrerCBAS Monaco · defenders€12M
- MatvienkoCBShakhtar Donetsk · defenders€12M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).