FairValue

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Thomas

Delaney

CMDenmark · FC Copenhagen

№ 91849Emerging €211k +0.86

Player dossierSuperliga

ThomasDelaney

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Copenhagen
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
34
Height
182 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Delaney at €500k. Model A, which never saw Delaney during training, estimates €211k: the market value is 137% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.37. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €300k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.86A €211k▲ +0.51B €300k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
46
Minutes
2,698
Goals
4
Assists
4
Started
35/46
Min / app
59
Cards
12Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Delaney…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €211k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Thomas Delaney's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 67th, Assists per 90 66th, Minutes, two years 52nd, Starts 63rd, Minutes, last 365 days 38th, European club minutes 80th67thGoals66thAssists52ndMinutes63rdStarts38thRecent80thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

17% this player0% midfielder median80th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jun 2009
Peak
€27M
Dec 2018
Model target
€500k
May 2026
Valuations
37
7 club changes
May 2026€500kFC CopenhagenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €500k, FC Copenhagen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2009-06-21€100kFC Copenhagen U19
2009-10-14€250kFC Copenhagen
2010-06-03€400kFC Copenhagen
2010-08-20€500kFC Copenhagen
2011-06-15€500kFC Copenhagen
2011-12-29€800kFC Copenhagen
2012-07-18€800kFC Copenhagen
2013-06-17€1MFC Copenhagen
2014-02-10€1.5MFC Copenhagen
2014-08-31€1.5MFC Copenhagen
2015-02-06€1.5MFC Copenhagen
2015-09-02€1.5MFC Copenhagen
2016-01-21€1.5MFC Copenhagen
2016-08-12€2MFC Copenhagen
2016-12-12€3.5MFC Copenhagen
2017-03-22€4.5MSV Werder Bremen
2017-06-19€6MSV Werder Bremen
2017-12-28€7.5MSV Werder Bremen
2018-06-05€12MSV Werder Bremen
2018-07-16€22MBorussia Dortmund
2018-12-18€27MBorussia Dortmund
2019-06-05€27MBorussia Dortmund
2019-12-17€22MBorussia Dortmund
2020-04-08€17.5MBorussia Dortmund
2021-02-10€17.5MBorussia Dortmund
2021-05-26€15MBorussia Dortmund
2021-10-13€9MSevilla FC
2021-12-30€8MSevilla FC
2022-06-03€7MSevilla FC
2022-11-07€3MSevilla FC
2023-06-22€2MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2023-12-19€2.5MRSC Anderlecht
2024-06-04€2.5MRSC Anderlecht
2024-12-09€2MFC Copenhagen
2025-06-16€1.2MFC Copenhagen
2025-12-15€800kFC Copenhagen
2026-05-25€500kFC Copenhagen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.863

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 25% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 16% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Delaney appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).