FairValue

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Mohamed

Berte

SSBelgium · FCV Dender EH

№ 895402Emerging €745k −0.14

Player dossierPro League

MohamedBerte

SSSecond StrikerAttack

Club
FCV Dender EH
League
Pro League
Nationality
Belgium
Age
24
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Berte at €650k. Model A, which never saw Berte during training, estimates €745k: the market value is 13% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.14A €745k▼ −0.76B €1.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
56
Minutes
2,282
Goals
7
Assists
1
Started
22/56
Min / app
41
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Berte…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €650k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €650kModel A €745k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Mohamed Berte's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 53rd, Assists per 90 13th, Minutes, two years 51st, Starts 20th, Minutes, last 365 days 35th, European club minutes 28th53rdGoals13thAssists51stMinutes20thStarts35thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.28 this player0.26 attacker median53rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jun 2021
Peak
€1.2M
Jun 2025
Model target
€650k
Jun 2026
Valuations
14
3 club changes
Jun 2026€650kFCV Dender EHValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €650k, FCV Dender EH. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-06-07€100kKV Oostende U21
2021-10-12€100kFC Den Bosch
2022-01-12€125kFC Den Bosch
2022-06-23€150kFC Den Bosch
2022-11-04€300kKV Oostende (-2024)
2023-06-09€250kKV Oostende (-2024)
2023-10-02€350kKV Oostende (-2024)
2023-12-28€400kKV Oostende (-2024)
2024-06-20€700kKV Oostende (-2024)
2024-10-02€900kFCV Dender EH
2024-12-11€1MFCV Dender EH
2025-06-12€1.2MFCV Dender EH
2025-12-10€800kFCV Dender EH
2026-06-04€650kFCV Dender EH

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.137

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 18% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€650kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 22% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€650kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Berte appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).