FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Lindon

Emërllahu

CMKosovo · Polissya Zhytomyr

№ 892105Established €1.4M +0.35

Player dossierPremier Liha

LindonEmërllahu

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Polissya Zhytomyr
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Kosovo
Age
23
Height
183 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Emërllahu at €2M. Model A, which never saw Emërllahu during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 42% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.42. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.35A €1.4M▲ +0.20B €1.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
18
Minutes
1,009
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
14/18
Min / app
56
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Emërllahu…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Lindon Emërllahu's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 52nd, Assists per 90 48th, Minutes, two years 14th, Starts 66th, Minutes, last 365 days 32nd, European club minutes 94th52ndGoals48thAssists14thMinutes66thStarts32ndRecent94thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

28% this player0% midfielder median94th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Dec 2021
Peak
€2M
Jun 2026
Model target
€2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
11
2 club changes
Jun 2026€2MPolissya ZhytomyrValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2M, Polissya Zhytomyr. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-12-19€25kFC Ballkani
2022-06-12€75kFC Ballkani
2022-12-01€500kFC Ballkani
2023-07-11€550kFC Ballkani
2023-11-17€550kFC Ballkani
2024-06-21€600kFC Ballkani
2024-12-06€1MFC Ballkani
2025-06-10€1.3MCFR Cluj
2025-12-19€1.5MCFR Cluj
2026-03-23€1.8MPolissya Zhytomyr
2026-06-02€2MPolissya Zhytomyr

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.351

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 88% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Emërllahu appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).