Fredy
CMAngola · Bodrum FK
Player dossierSüper Lig
Fredy
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Bodrum FK
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Angola
- Age
- 35
- Height
- 170 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 29 Dec 2025
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Fredy at €225k. Model A, which never saw Fredy during training, estimates €126k: the market value is 79% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.79. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €155k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 34
- Minutes
- 2,769
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 31/34
- Min / app
- 81
- Cards
- 2Y 1R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Fredy…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €225k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
91% this player69% midfielder median88th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Aug 2009
- Peak
- €1.5M
- Jul 2014
- Model target
- €225k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 38
- 8 club changes
Dec 2025: €225k, Bodrum FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2009-08-24 | €200k | CF Os Belenenses |
| 2010-02-05 | €700k | CF Os Belenenses |
| 2010-12-03 | €600k | CF Os Belenenses |
| 2012-03-22 | €300k | Recreativo do Libolo |
| 2013-04-20 | €500k | CF Os Belenenses |
| 2014-02-26 | €1M | CF Os Belenenses |
| 2014-07-25 | €1.5M | CF Os Belenenses |
| 2016-10-17 | €800k | SBV Excelsior |
| 2017-01-18 | €800k | SBV Excelsior |
| 2017-06-07 | €800k | SBV Excelsior |
| 2018-02-07 | €800k | CF Os Belenenses |
| 2018-06-13 | €800k | CF Os Belenenses |
| 2019-01-11 | €1.5M | B SAD |
| 2019-06-04 | €1M | Antalyaspor |
| 2019-10-04 | €850k | Antalyaspor |
| 2020-01-03 | €650k | Antalyaspor |
| 2020-04-08 | €525k | Antalyaspor |
| 2020-08-04 | €500k | Antalyaspor |
| 2020-12-23 | €500k | Antalyaspor |
| 2021-03-16 | €900k | Antalyaspor |
| 2021-05-21 | €1.2M | Antalyaspor |
| 2021-10-12 | €1.2M | Antalyaspor |
| 2022-01-04 | €1.5M | Antalyaspor |
| 2022-03-31 | €1.5M | Antalyaspor |
| 2022-06-01 | €1.5M | Antalyaspor |
| 2022-10-27 | €1.2M | Antalyaspor |
| 2023-03-14 | €1M | Antalyaspor |
| 2023-06-08 | €800k | Antalyaspor |
| 2023-10-20 | €750k | Eyüpspor |
| 2023-12-29 | €700k | Eyüpspor |
| 2024-03-26 | €700k | Eyüpspor |
| 2024-06-13 | €500k | Eyüpspor |
| 2024-10-04 | €450k | Bodrum FK |
| 2024-12-23 | €400k | Bodrum FK |
| 2025-03-20 | €325k | Bodrum FK |
| 2025-06-18 | €275k | Bodrum FK |
| 2025-10-08 | €225k | Bodrum FK |
| 2025-12-29 | €225k | Bodrum FK |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.584
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 10% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 5% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Fredy appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- DursunCFKocaelispor · Süper Lig€250k
- JohnsonCMFatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig€250k
- CafúCMKasimpasa · Süper Lig€250k
- OnguénéCBEyüpspor · Süper Lig€250k
- SpencerDMFalkirk FC · midfielders€225k
- FalkCMOdense Boldklub · midfielders€250k
- BabenkoCMPolissya Zhytomyr · midfielders€250k
- SydorchukDMKVC Westerlo · midfielders€250k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).