FairValue

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Portrait of Ricardo Rodríguez

Ricardo

Rodríguez

LBSwitzerland · Real Betis Balompié

№ 86784Emerging €1.4M +0.02

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLaLiga

RicardoRodríguez

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Real Betis Balompié
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Switzerland
Age
33
Height
182 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Rodríguez at €1.4M. Model A, which never saw Rodríguez during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 2% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.02A €1.4M▼ −0.20B €1.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
58
Minutes
4,072
Goals
0
Assists
3
Started
46/58
Min / app
70
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rodríguez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.4MModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Ricardo Rodríguez's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 65th, Minutes, two years 70th, Starts 43rd, Minutes, last 365 days 75th, European club minutes 83rd18thGoals65thAssists70thMinutes43rdStarts75thRecent83rdEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

19% this player0% defender median83rd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jan 2010
Peak
€28M
Jul 2014
Model target
€1.4M
Jun 2026
Valuations
44
6 club changes
Jun 2026€1.4MReal Betis BalompiéValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.4M, Real Betis Balompié. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-01-11€50kFC Zürich
2010-06-01€300kFC Zürich
2011-05-01€500kFC Zürich
2011-06-15€750kFC Zürich
2011-09-01€2MFC Zürich
2011-11-07€3MFC Zürich
2011-12-15€5MFC Zürich
2012-01-10€7.5MFC Zürich
2012-06-29€8.5MVfL Wolfsburg
2013-01-13€8MVfL Wolfsburg
2013-06-30€10MVfL Wolfsburg
2014-02-12€15MVfL Wolfsburg
2014-03-31€20MVfL Wolfsburg
2014-07-10€28MVfL Wolfsburg
2015-02-04€28MVfL Wolfsburg
2015-07-01€28MVfL Wolfsburg
2016-02-15€28MVfL Wolfsburg
2016-06-01€25MVfL Wolfsburg
2016-07-22€25MVfL Wolfsburg
2017-02-07€20MVfL Wolfsburg
2017-03-22€17MVfL Wolfsburg
2017-06-19€17MVfL Wolfsburg
2017-12-29€17MAC Milan
2018-06-07€15MAC Milan
2018-12-20€17MAC Milan
2019-06-06€17MAC Milan
2019-10-08€13MAC Milan
2019-12-12€10MAC Milan
2020-02-11€7MPSV Eindhoven
2020-04-08€5.5MPSV Eindhoven
2020-08-25€3.5MAC Milan
2020-12-29€3MTorino FC
2021-03-23€2.5MTorino FC
2021-05-25€2MTorino FC
2021-12-28€2MTorino FC
2022-06-07€3.4MTorino FC
2022-11-11€3.5MTorino FC
2023-06-15€3.5MTorino FC
2023-12-20€3.5MTorino FC
2024-06-05€3.5MTorino FC
2024-12-27€2.5MReal Betis Balompié
2025-06-09€2MReal Betis Balompié
2025-12-12€1.5MReal Betis Balompié
2026-06-05€1.4MReal Betis Balompié

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.021

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 18% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1.4MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 42% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Rodríguez appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).