FairValue

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Portrait of Alex Scott

Alex

Scott

CMEngland · AFC Bournemouth

№ 855256World Class €34.5M +0.37

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

AlexScott

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
AFC Bournemouth
League
Premier League
Nationality
England
Age
22
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Scott at €50M. Model A, which never saw Scott during training, estimates €34.5M: the market value is 45% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.45. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.37A €34.5M▲ +1.76B €8.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
62
Minutes
3,993
Goals
4
Assists
1
Started
46/62
Min / app
64
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Scott…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €50M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €50MModel A €34.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Alex Scott's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 53rd, Assists per 90 18th, Minutes, two years 74th, Starts 59th, Minutes, last 365 days 92nd, European club minutes 30th53rdGoals18thAssists74thMinutes59thStarts92ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,062 this player1,541 midfielder median92nd percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Mar 2021
Peak
€50M
Jun 2026
Model target
€50M
Jun 2026
Valuations
15
2 club changes
Jun 2026€50MAFC BournemouthValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €50M, AFC Bournemouth. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-03-10€50kBristol City U18
2021-11-24€300kBristol City
2022-05-13€800kBristol City
2022-09-14€6MBristol City
2022-10-27€7MBristol City
2023-03-24€14MBristol City
2023-06-01€20MBristol City
2023-12-19€20MAFC Bournemouth
2024-05-27€20MAFC Bournemouth
2024-12-16€20MAFC Bournemouth
2025-05-30€20MAFC Bournemouth
2025-10-17€25MAFC Bournemouth
2025-12-09€30MAFC Bournemouth
2026-03-09€40MAFC Bournemouth
2026-06-03€50MAFC Bournemouth

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.370

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 88% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€50MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 97% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€50MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Scott appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).