FairValue

Checking model

Esc

  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
  • EnvironmentStoriesValuations, head-to-heads and research findings, told as stories.
  • TerminalPlayer ExplorerSearch, filter and sort the player export.
  • TerminalComparison StudioTwo to four players on one scale.
  • TerminalWatchlistsNamed collections, kept in this browser.
  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

↑ ↓ to move · Enter to open · Esc to closeLoading player index…

Portrait of Jackson Tchatchoua

Jackson

Tchatchoua

RBCameroon · Wolverhampton Wanderers

№ 848509Elite €12.9M −0.07

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

JacksonTchatchoua

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Wolverhampton Wanderers
League
Premier League
Nationality
Cameroon
Age
24
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Tchatchoua at €12M. Model A, which never saw Tchatchoua during training, estimates €12.9M: the market value is 7% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.07A €12.9M▲ +1.37B €3.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
73
Minutes
5,445
Goals
2
Assists
5
Started
60/73
Min / app
75
Cards
10Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tchatchoua…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €12MModel A €12.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Jackson Tchatchoua's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 51st, Assists per 90 72nd, Minutes, two years 88th, Starts 49th, Minutes, last 365 days 67th, European club minutes 30th51stGoals72ndAssists88thMinutes49thStarts67thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,445 this player2,860 defender median88th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jul 2021
Peak
€12M
Oct 2025
Model target
€12M
Jun 2026
Valuations
16
2 club changes
Jun 2026€12MWolverhampton WanderersValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €12M, Wolverhampton Wanderers. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-07-23€25kRoyal Charleroi SC
2021-10-06€650kRoyal Charleroi SC
2022-01-06€1.2MRoyal Charleroi SC
2022-04-12€2MRoyal Charleroi SC
2022-11-04€3MRoyal Charleroi SC
2023-03-22€2.2MRoyal Charleroi SC
2023-06-09€2MRoyal Charleroi SC
2023-12-20€2.5MHellas Verona
2024-03-12€3MHellas Verona
2024-06-05€3MHellas Verona
2024-10-18€8MHellas Verona
2024-12-18€8MHellas Verona
2025-06-17€8MHellas Verona
2025-10-17€12MWolverhampton Wanderers
2025-12-09€12MWolverhampton Wanderers
2026-06-03€12MWolverhampton Wanderers

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.072

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 36% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 84% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Tchatchoua appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).