Marc
Pubill
CBSpain · Atlético de Madrid
Photo: Bryan Berlin / WikiPortraits, CC BY-SA 4.0 (background removed)
Player dossierLaLiga
MarcPubill
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Atlético de Madrid
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 191 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Pubill at €35M. Model A, which never saw Pubill during training, estimates €17.5M: the market value is 100% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.00. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €11.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 36
- Minutes
- 2,775
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 29/36
- Min / app
- 77
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pubill…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €35M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
30% this player0% defender median95th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Oct 2021
- Peak
- €35M
- Jun 2026
- Model target
- €35M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 17
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €35M, Atlético de Madrid. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-13 | €25k | Atlético Levante UD |
| 2021-12-30 | €500k | Atlético Levante UD |
| 2022-03-21 | €800k | Atlético Levante UD |
| 2022-06-03 | €800k | Atlético Levante UD |
| 2022-06-29 | €800k | Atlético Levante UD |
| 2022-12-29 | €800k | Levante UD |
| 2023-06-14 | €1M | Levante UD |
| 2023-10-13 | €2.5M | UD Almería |
| 2023-12-22 | €2M | UD Almería |
| 2024-03-21 | €3M | UD Almería |
| 2024-06-07 | €4M | UD Almería |
| 2024-12-13 | €4M | UD Almería |
| 2025-06-24 | €4M | UD Almería |
| 2025-10-02 | €16M | Atlético de Madrid |
| 2025-12-12 | €15M | Atlético de Madrid |
| 2026-03-16 | €28M | Atlético de Madrid |
| 2026-06-05 | €35M | Atlético de Madrid |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.695
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 96% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Pubill appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- DíazRWReal Madrid · LaLiga€35M
- JongCMFC Barcelona · LaLiga€35M
- HanckoCBAtlético de Madrid · LaLiga€35M
- MartínCBFC Barcelona · LaLiga€35M
- BotmanCBNewcastle United · defenders€35M
- KadıoğluLBBrighton & Hove Albion · defenders€35M
- NdickaCBAS Roma · defenders€35M
- KiwiorCBFC Porto · defenders€35M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).