FairValue

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Thiago

Nuss

LWArgentina · OFI Crete

№ 840101Emerging €2.9M −0.67

Player dossierSuper League

ThiagoNuss

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
OFI Crete
League
Super League
Nationality
Argentina
Age
25
Height
172 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Nuss at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Nuss during training, estimates €2.9M: the market value is 49% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.96. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.67A €2.9M▼ −1.24B €5.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
57
Minutes
4,375
Goals
20
Assists
9
Started
53/57
Min / app
77
Cards
27Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Nuss…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €2.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Thiago Nuss's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 78th, Assists per 90 65th, Minutes, two years 85th, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 79th, European club minutes 28th78thGoals65thAssists85thMinutes97thStarts79thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

93% this player59% attacker median97th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Nov 2020
Peak
€1.5M
Jun 2026
Model target
€1.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
16
3 club changes
Jun 2026€1.5MOFI CreteValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.5M, OFI Crete. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-11-01€25kAMSD Atlético de Rafaela
2022-02-08€25kAA Argentinos Juniors
2022-05-24€75kAA Argentinos Juniors
2022-09-06€550kAA Argentinos Juniors
2022-10-26€650kAA Argentinos Juniors
2023-04-05€1.2MAA Argentinos Juniors
2023-07-04€1MAA Argentinos Juniors
2023-12-19€700kAA Argentinos Juniors
2024-03-11€500kCA Central Córdoba (SdE)
2024-06-12€450kCA Central Córdoba (SdE)
2024-12-18€600kOFI Crete
2025-03-14€750kOFI Crete
2025-05-23€900kOFI Crete
2025-09-23€1MOFI Crete
2025-12-12€1MOFI Crete
2026-06-04€1.5MOFI Crete

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.672

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 73% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 37% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Nuss appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).