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Olivier

Giroud

CFFrance · LOSC Lille

№ 82442Emerging €683k +0.28

Player dossierLigue 1

OlivierGiroud

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
LOSC Lille
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
France
Age
39
Height
192 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Giroud at €900k. Model A, which never saw Giroud during training, estimates €683k: the market value is 32% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €529k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.28A €683k▲ +0.53B €529k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
42
Minutes
2,261
Goals
11
Assists
1
Started
23/42
Min / app
54
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Giroud…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €900kModel A €683k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Olivier Giroud's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 82nd, Assists per 90 13th, Minutes, two years 50th, Starts 43rd, Minutes, last 365 days 80th, European club minutes 93rd82ndGoals13thAssists50thMinutes43rdStarts80thRecent93rdEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

29% this player0% attacker median93rd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Aug 2008
Peak
€27M
Feb 2016
Model target
€900k
Jun 2026
Valuations
44
7 club changes
Jun 2026€900kLOSC LilleValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €900k, LOSC Lille. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2008-08-18€50kGrenoble Foot 38
2008-12-13€400kTours FC
2009-06-03€800kTours FC
2009-12-13€2.5MTours FC
2010-05-17€3MTours FC
2010-12-28€4.5MMontpellier HSC
2011-05-24€5MMontpellier HSC
2011-09-25€6MMontpellier HSC
2011-12-24€9.3MMontpellier HSC
2012-02-02€9.5MMontpellier HSC
2012-05-23€13MMontpellier HSC
2012-09-09€15MArsenal FC
2013-01-28€15MArsenal FC
2013-07-02€16MArsenal FC
2014-01-15€20MArsenal FC
2014-08-12€20MArsenal FC
2015-02-12€20MArsenal FC
2015-07-01€24MArsenal FC
2016-02-09€27MArsenal FC
2016-06-01€25MArsenal FC
2016-08-01€25MArsenal FC
2017-02-20€25MArsenal FC
2017-06-28€22MArsenal FC
2018-01-02€20MArsenal FC
2018-05-28€18MChelsea FC
2018-12-19€15MChelsea FC
2019-06-13€15MChelsea FC
2019-09-12€12MChelsea FC
2019-12-10€9MChelsea FC
2020-04-08€7MChelsea FC
2020-10-13€5MChelsea FC
2021-03-18€5MChelsea FC
2021-06-01€4MChelsea FC
2021-12-28€2.5MAC Milan
2022-06-07€3.5MAC Milan
2022-11-11€4MAC Milan
2023-06-15€4MAC Milan
2023-12-20€4MAC Milan
2024-06-05€3MAC Milan
2024-12-12€2.5MLos Angeles FC
2025-04-17€1.8MLos Angeles FC
2025-06-05€1.5MLos Angeles FC
2025-12-15€1MLOSC Lille
2026-06-01€900kLOSC Lille

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.275

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 8% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 28% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Giroud appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).