FairValue

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Portrait of Tom Bischof

Tom

Bischof

CMGermany · Bayern Munich

№ 822959World Class €47M −0.16

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierBundesliga

TomBischof

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Bayern Munich
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Germany
Age
20
Height
176 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bischof at €40M. Model A, which never saw Bischof during training, estimates €47M: the market value is 15% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.17. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €25.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.16A €47M▲ +0.45B €25.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
79
Minutes
4,990
Goals
9
Assists
6
Started
57/79
Min / app
63
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bischof…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €40M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €40MModel A €47M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Tom Bischof's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 75th, Assists per 90 55th, Minutes, two years 86th, Starts 56th, Minutes, last 365 days 55th, European club minutes 85th75thGoals55thAssists86thMinutes56thStarts55thRecent85thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,990 this player2,607 midfielder median86th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€750k
Aug 2021
Peak
€40M
Dec 2025
Model target
€40M
May 2026
Valuations
13
1 club change
May 2026€40MBayern MunichValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €40M, Bayern Munich. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-08-07€750kTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2021-12-22€750kTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2022-06-09€1MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2022-11-09€1MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2023-03-29€3.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2023-06-22€3.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2023-12-14€3.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2024-05-29€3.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2024-12-20€12MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2025-03-27€25MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2025-06-05€30MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2025-12-19€40MBayern Munich
2026-05-27€40MBayern Munich

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.161

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 93% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€40MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 96% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€40MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bischof appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).