Fernando
Henrique
Player dossierPremier Liha
FernandoHenrique
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- FC Oleksandriya
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 182 cm
- Foot
- Both
- Valued
- 2 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Henrique at €600k. Model A, which never saw Henrique during training, estimates €286k: the market value is 110% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €729k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 21
- Minutes
- 1,257
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 14/21
- Min / app
- 60
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Henrique…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
67% this player69% midfielder median45th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €900k
- May 2021
- Peak
- €1.5M
- Dec 2021
- Model target
- €600k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 14
- 5 club changes
Jun 2026: €600k, FC Oleksandriya. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-28 | €900k | Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense |
| 2021-12-17 | €1.5M | Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense |
| 2022-08-05 | €1.5M | Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense |
| 2022-12-28 | €1.2M | Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense |
| 2023-04-07 | €1.2M | Cruzeiro Esporte Clube |
| 2023-07-25 | €1.2M | Cruzeiro Esporte Clube |
| 2023-12-11 | €1M | Cruzeiro Esporte Clube |
| 2024-03-28 | €1M | Vila Nova Futebol Clube (GO) |
| 2024-04-18 | €1M | Vila Nova Futebol Clube (GO) |
| 2024-12-09 | €1M | Cruzeiro Esporte Clube |
| 2025-06-27 | €800k | Clube de Regatas Brasil (AL) |
| 2025-12-18 | €700k | FC Oleksandriya |
| 2026-03-23 | €600k | FC Oleksandriya |
| 2026-06-02 | €600k | FC Oleksandriya |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.741
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
Valued above 61% of the 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 20% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Henrique appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- TankovskyiCMLNZ Cherkasy · Premier Liha€600k
- ZaderakaAMKryvbas Kryvyi Rig · Premier Liha€600k
- MicinAMZorya Lugansk · Premier Liha€600k
- BoykoCMNK Veres Rivne · Premier Liha€600k
- LarssonAMFatih Karagümrük · midfielders€600k
- TimofeevDMLokomotiv Moscow · midfielders€600k
- ShvetsDMRubin Kazan · midfielders€600k
- KranevitterDMFatih Karagümrük · midfielders€600k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).