FairValue

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Lukasz

Skorupski

GKPoland · Bologna FC 1909

№ 80894Established €2.3M −0.16

Player dossierSerie A

LukaszSkorupski

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Bologna FC 1909
League
Serie A
Nationality
Poland
Age
35
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Skorupski at €2M. Model A, which never saw Skorupski during training, estimates €2.3M: the market value is 15% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.17. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.16A €2.3M▲ +0.07B €1.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
66
Minutes
5,759
Started
66/66
Min / app
87
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Skorupski…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €2.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Lukasz Skorupski's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 83rd, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 67th, European club minutes 89th83rdMinutes62ndStarts67thRecent89thEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

25% this player0% goalkeeper median89th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2008
Peak
€7M
Jun 2017
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
34
6 club changes
May 2026€2MBologna FC 1909Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, Bologna FC 1909. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2008-07-30€50kGórnik Zabrze
2010-03-01€50kGórnik Zabrze
2011-05-25€125kRuch Radzionkow
2012-03-24€750kGórnik Zabrze
2012-08-31€1MGórnik Zabrze
2013-02-07€1MGórnik Zabrze
2013-09-05€1MAS Roma
2014-01-07€1MAS Roma
2014-07-01€1.5MAS Roma
2015-01-07€1.5MAS Roma
2015-07-01€1.5MFC Empoli
2016-01-04€2.5MFC Empoli
2016-07-15€4MFC Empoli
2017-01-02€5MFC Empoli
2017-06-08€7MFC Empoli
2017-12-29€6.5MAS Roma
2018-06-07€7MAS Roma
2018-12-20€7MBologna FC 1909
2019-06-06€7MBologna FC 1909
2019-12-12€7MBologna FC 1909
2020-04-08€5.5MBologna FC 1909
2020-08-25€5.5MBologna FC 1909
2020-12-29€4MBologna FC 1909
2021-05-31€3.8MBologna FC 1909
2021-12-28€4MBologna FC 1909
2022-06-07€4MBologna FC 1909
2022-11-11€3MBologna FC 1909
2023-06-15€3.5MBologna FC 1909
2023-12-20€3.5MBologna FC 1909
2024-06-05€3.5MBologna FC 1909
2024-12-18€2.5MBologna FC 1909
2025-06-17€2.5MBologna FC 1909
2025-12-23€2.5MBologna FC 1909
2026-05-29€2MBologna FC 1909

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.158

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 20% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 59% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Skorupski appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).