Léo
Scienza
AMBrazil · Southampton FC
Player dossierPremier League
LéoScienza
AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Southampton FC
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 175 cm
- Foot
- Both
- Valued
- 3 Dec 2025
Premier LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Scienza at €9M. Model A, which never saw Scienza during training, estimates €6.8M: the market value is 32% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 33
- Minutes
- 1,657
- Goals
- 7
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 19/33
- Min / app
- 50
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Scienza…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €9M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Goals per 90
Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.
0.38 this player0.08 midfielder median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €75k
- Nov 2020
- Peak
- €9M
- Oct 2025
- Model target
- €9M
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 15
- 4 club changes
Dec 2025: €9M, Southampton FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-10 | €75k | FC Schalke 04 II |
| 2021-01-05 | €100k | FC Schalke 04 II |
| 2021-06-26 | €100k | FC Schalke 04 II |
| 2021-12-22 | €100k | FC Schalke 04 II |
| 2022-06-13 | €200k | FC Schalke 04 II |
| 2022-11-30 | €250k | 1.FC Magdeburg |
| 2023-06-28 | €200k | 1.FC Magdeburg |
| 2023-12-28 | €300k | SSV Ulm 1846 |
| 2024-03-20 | €450k | SSV Ulm 1846 |
| 2024-06-11 | €1M | SSV Ulm 1846 |
| 2024-10-09 | €2.5M | 1.FC Heidenheim 1846 |
| 2024-12-20 | €3M | 1.FC Heidenheim 1846 |
| 2025-06-05 | €3M | 1.FC Heidenheim 1846 |
| 2025-10-06 | €9M | Southampton FC |
| 2025-12-03 | €9M | Southampton FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.274
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 31% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 77% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Scienza appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KristiansenLBLeicester City · Premier League€9M
- KovacicCMManchester City · Premier League€10M
- LukićCMFulham FC · Premier League€10M
- SoučekDMWest Ham United · Premier League€10M
- MangalaDMOlympique Lyon · midfielders€9M
- MandragoraDMACF Fiorentina · midfielders€9M
- PrassLMTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · midfielders€9M
- BrescianiniCMACF Fiorentina · midfielders€9M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).