Vadim
Ulyanov
GKRussia · Akhmat Grozny
Player dossierPremier Liga
VadimUlyanov
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Akhmat Grozny
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Ulyanov at €800k. Model A, which never saw Ulyanov during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 27% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.37. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 21
- Minutes
- 1,822
- Started
- 21/21
- Min / app
- 87
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ulyanov…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €75k
- Dec 2020
- Peak
- €800k
- May 2026
- Model target
- €800k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 12
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €800k, Akhmat Grozny. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-12-29 | €75k | Strogino Moscow |
| 2021-06-28 | €100k | Strogino Moscow |
| 2021-12-03 | €125k | Kairat Moscow ( -2022) |
| 2022-06-10 | €125k | Kairat Almaty |
| 2022-11-25 | €200k | Kairat Almaty |
| 2023-06-06 | €200k | Kairat Almaty |
| 2023-11-15 | €200k | Kairat Almaty |
| 2024-06-26 | €350k | Kairat Almaty |
| 2024-11-14 | €600k | Kairat Almaty |
| 2025-06-04 | €500k | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2025-12-16 | €750k | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2026-05-26 | €800k | Akhmat Grozny |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.313
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 33% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 39% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ulyanov appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LunevGKDynamo Moscow · Premier Liga€800k
- GudievGKAkron Tolyatti · Premier Liga€800k
- SilvaCMAkhmat Grozny · Premier Liga€800k
- BozhinCBKrylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga€800k
- SzczesnyGKFC Barcelona · goalkeepers€800k
- NylandGKSevilla FC · goalkeepers€800k
- LecomteGKFulham FC · goalkeepers€800k
- BentleyGKWolverhampton Wanderers · goalkeepers€800k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).