Déron
Payne
RBTrinidad and Tobago · FC Volendam
Player dossierEredivisie
DéronPayne
RBRight-BackDefender
- Club
- FC Volendam
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Trinidad and Tobago
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 182 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
EredivisieReading the valuation
The market values Payne at €350k. Model A, which never saw Payne during training, estimates €462k: the market value is 24% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €632k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 17
- Minutes
- 1,028
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 12/17
- Min / app
- 60
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Payne…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% defender median30th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €75k
- Jun 2023
- Peak
- €650k
- Jun 2025
- Model target
- €350k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 11
- 0 club changes
May 2026: €350k, FC Volendam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-23 | €75k | FC Volendam |
| 2023-10-17 | €300k | FC Volendam |
| 2023-12-15 | €300k | FC Volendam |
| 2024-05-31 | €275k | FC Volendam |
| 2024-10-14 | €225k | FC Volendam |
| 2024-12-10 | €250k | FC Volendam |
| 2025-03-14 | €325k | FC Volendam |
| 2025-06-09 | €650k | FC Volendam |
| 2025-12-02 | €600k | FC Volendam |
| 2026-03-11 | €450k | FC Volendam |
| 2026-05-28 | €350k | FC Volendam |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.278
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 14% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 12% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Payne appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SandeCFSC Cambuur Leeuwarden · Eredivisie€350k
- JacobsCBAlmere City FC · Eredivisie€350k
- LucassenRBNAC Breda · Eredivisie€350k
- WieckhoffRBHeracles Almelo · Eredivisie€350k
- GodeauCBSK Beveren · defenders€350k
- CroneRBFC Fredericia · defenders€350k
- SarrRBFC Metz · defenders€350k
- MalyshCBIngulets Petrove · defenders€350k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).