FairValue

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Portrait of Giuliano Simeone

Giuliano

Simeone

RWArgentina · Atlético de Madrid

№ 742201World Class €59.7M −0.40

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLaLiga

GiulianoSimeone

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Atlético de Madrid
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Argentina
Age
23
Height
174 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Simeone at €40M. Model A, which never saw Simeone during training, estimates €59.7M: the market value is 33% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.49. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €57.7M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.40A €59.7M▼ −0.37B €57.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
103
Minutes
6,867
Goals
12
Assists
17
Started
87/103
Min / app
67
Cards
12Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Simeone…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €40M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €40MModel A €59.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Giuliano Simeone's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 25th, Assists per 90 77th, Minutes, two years 99th, Starts 88th, Minutes, last 365 days 100th, European club minutes 93rd25thGoals77thAssists99thMinutes88thStarts100thRecent93rdEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

4,014 this player1,301 attacker median100th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Mar 2021
Peak
€40M
Dec 2025
Model target
€40M
Jun 2026
Valuations
14
3 club changes
Jun 2026€40MAtlético de MadridValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €40M, Atlético de Madrid. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-03-19€500kAtlético Madrileño
2021-06-30€500kAtlético Madrileño
2022-09-26€800kReal Zaragoza
2022-12-29€1MReal Zaragoza
2023-03-24€2MReal Zaragoza
2023-06-14€2.5MReal Zaragoza
2023-12-22€2.5MDeportivo Alavés
2024-03-21€1.5MDeportivo Alavés
2024-06-07€3MDeportivo Alavés
2024-12-27€12MAtlético de Madrid
2025-03-21€25MAtlético de Madrid
2025-06-09€35MAtlético de Madrid
2025-12-12€40MAtlético de Madrid
2026-06-05€40MAtlético de Madrid

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.401

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 93% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€40MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 95% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€40MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Simeone appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).