FairValue

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Lawrence

Agyekum

CMGhana · Cercle Brugge

№ 733410Emerging €2.2M −0.37

Player dossierPro League

LawrenceAgyekum

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Cercle Brugge
League
Pro League
Nationality
Ghana
Age
22
Height
174 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Agyekum at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Agyekum during training, estimates €2.2M: the market value is 31% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.45. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.37A €2.2M▼ −1.18B €4.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
61
Minutes
4,115
Goals
0
Assists
4
Started
51/61
Min / app
67
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Agyekum…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €2.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Lawrence Agyekum's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 47th, Minutes, two years 76th, Starts 76th, Minutes, last 365 days 61st, European club minutes 67th10thGoals47thAssists76thMinutes76thStarts61stRecent67thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

84% this player69% midfielder median76th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
May 2020
Peak
€2.5M
Jun 2025
Model target
€1.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
15
4 club changes
Jun 2026€1.5MCercle BruggeValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.5M, Cercle Brugge. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-05-04€25kWest African Football Academy
2021-01-16€25kWest African Football Academy
2021-06-18€100kWest African Football Academy
2021-10-04€125kWest African Football Academy
2022-02-17€250kFC Liefering
2022-05-25€400kFC Liefering
2022-11-17€1MFC Liefering
2023-06-12€1MRed Bull Salzburg
2023-12-05€1MFC Liefering
2024-05-28€800kFC Liefering
2024-10-02€1.5MCercle Brugge
2024-12-11€1.5MCercle Brugge
2025-06-12€2.5MCercle Brugge
2025-12-10€2MCercle Brugge
2026-06-04€1.5MCercle Brugge

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.373

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 39% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 39% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Agyekum appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).