FairValue

Checking model

Esc

  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
  • EnvironmentStoriesValuations, head-to-heads and research findings, told as stories.
  • TerminalPlayer ExplorerSearch, filter and sort the player export.
  • TerminalComparison StudioTwo to four players on one scale.
  • TerminalWatchlistsNamed collections, kept in this browser.
  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

↑ ↓ to move · Enter to open · Esc to closeLoading player index…

Lequincio

Zeefuik

CFNetherlands · Heracles Almelo

№ 728864Emerging €442k +0.65

Player dossierEredivisie

LequincioZeefuik

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Heracles Almelo
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
21
Height
197 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Zeefuik at €850k. Model A, which never saw Zeefuik during training, estimates €442k: the market value is 92% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.92. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.65A €442k▼ −0.45B €1.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
37
Minutes
1,727
Goals
3
Assists
1
Started
19/37
Min / app
47
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Zeefuik…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €850k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €850kModel A €442k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Lequincio Zeefuik's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 25th, Assists per 90 16th, Minutes, two years 37th, Starts 37th, Minutes, last 365 days 47th, European club minutes 57th25thGoals16thAssists37thMinutes37thStarts47thRecent57thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

1% this player0% attacker median57th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Oct 2021
Peak
€1M
Mar 2024
Model target
€850k
May 2026
Valuations
13
4 club changes
May 2026€850kHeracles AlmeloValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €850k, Heracles Almelo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-10-12€75kFC Volendam
2022-01-12€75kFC Volendam
2022-06-23€75kFC Volendam
2022-09-14€200kFC Volendam
2022-11-11€200kFC Volendam
2023-06-23€350kFC Volendam
2023-12-15€500kFC Volendam
2024-03-18€1MAZ Alkmaar
2024-05-31€1MAZ Alkmaar
2024-12-17€1MAZ Alkmaar
2025-06-12€850kOud-Heverlee Leuven
2025-12-02€850kAZ Alkmaar
2026-05-28€850kHeracles Almelo

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.654

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 44% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€850kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 28% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€850kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Zeefuik appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).