FairValue

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Denys

Shostak

AMUkraine · FC Oleksandriya

№ 726016Emerging €497k −0.22

Player dossierPremier Liha

DenysShostak

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Oleksandriya
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
23
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Shostak at €400k. Model A, which never saw Shostak during training, estimates €497k: the market value is 20% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.24. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.22A €497k▼ −2.28B €3.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
40
Minutes
1,638
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
19/40
Min / app
41
Cards
12Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Shostak…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €497k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Denys Shostak's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 36th, Assists per 90 31st, Minutes, two years 28th, Starts 18th, Minutes, last 365 days 35th, European club minutes 69th36thGoals31stAssists28thMinutes18thStarts35thRecent69thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

8% this player0% midfielder median69th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jan 2021
Peak
€400k
Jun 2024
Model target
€400k
Jun 2026
Valuations
11
3 club changes
Jun 2026€400kFC OleksandriyaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €400k, FC Oleksandriya. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-01-14€50kShakhtar Donetsk II
2021-09-03€100kFC Mariupol
2021-12-20€200kFC Mariupol
2022-05-18€200kFC Mariupol
2023-06-28€200kEstoril Praia U23
2023-12-11€300kFC Oleksandriya
2024-06-06€400kFC Oleksandriya
2024-12-17€400kFC Oleksandriya
2025-06-10€400kFC Oleksandriya
2025-12-18€400kFC Oleksandriya
2026-06-02€400kFC Oleksandriya

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.217

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 40% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 12% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Shostak appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).