FairValue

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Abde

Ezzalzouli

LWMorocco · Real Betis Balompié

№ 724520World Class €36.5M +0.09

Player dossierLaLiga

AbdeEzzalzouli

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Real Betis Balompié
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Morocco
Age
24
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ezzalzouli at €40M. Model A, which never saw Ezzalzouli during training, estimates €36.5M: the market value is 10% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €30.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.09A €36.5M▲ +0.28B €30.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
79
Minutes
5,435
Goals
20
Assists
18
Started
62/79
Min / app
69
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ezzalzouli…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €40M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €40MModel A €36.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Abde Ezzalzouli's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 63rd, Assists per 90 90th, Minutes, two years 94th, Starts 81st, Minutes, last 365 days 97th, European club minutes 80th63rdGoals90thAssists94thMinutes81stStarts97thRecent80thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,171 this player1,301 attacker median97th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Feb 2020
Peak
€40M
Jun 2026
Model target
€40M
Jun 2026
Valuations
20
3 club changes
Jun 2026€40MReal Betis BalompiéValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €40M, Real Betis Balompié. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-02-11€50kHércules CF
2020-10-08€50kHércules CF
2021-01-08€50kHércules CF
2021-06-30€100kHércules CF
2021-10-13€1MFC Barcelona B
2021-12-30€8MFC Barcelona B
2022-06-03€8MFC Barcelona B
2022-06-29€8MFC Barcelona B
2022-11-07€8MCA Osasuna
2023-06-13€15MCA Osasuna
2023-12-22€15MReal Betis Balompié
2024-03-21€12MReal Betis Balompié
2024-06-07€9MReal Betis Balompié
2024-10-11€12MReal Betis Balompié
2024-12-27€15MReal Betis Balompié
2025-03-21€12MReal Betis Balompié
2025-06-09€12MReal Betis Balompié
2025-12-12€20MReal Betis Balompié
2026-03-16€30MReal Betis Balompié
2026-06-05€40MReal Betis Balompié

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.091

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 93% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€40MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 95% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€40MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ezzalzouli appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).