FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Athanasios

Karamanis

CMGreece · Atromitos Athens

№ 724034Emerging €506k −0.37

Player dossierSuper League

AthanasiosKaramanis

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Atromitos Athens
League
Super League
Nationality
Greece
Age
22
Height
–
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Karamanis at €350k. Model A, which never saw Karamanis during training, estimates €506k: the market value is 31% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.45. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €530k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.37A €506k▼ −0.41B €530k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
1,995
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
24/39
Min / app
51
Cards
14Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Karamanis…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €350kModel A €506k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Athanasios Karamanis's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 53rd, Assists per 90 26th, Minutes, two years 36th, Starts 36th, Minutes, last 365 days 28th, European club minutes 30th53rdGoals26thAssists36thMinutes36thStarts28thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.09 this player0.08 midfielder median53rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jun 2022
Peak
€350k
Jun 2026
Model target
€350k
Jun 2026
Valuations
10
2 club changes
Jun 2026€350kAtromitos AthensValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €350k, Atromitos Athens. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-06-23€50kPerugia Primavera
2023-02-27€75kDiagoras Rodos
2023-06-19€100kDiagoras Rodos
2023-12-20€100kAtromitos Athens
2024-05-30€100kAtromitos Athens
2024-12-18€150kAtromitos Athens
2025-03-14€250kAtromitos Athens
2025-05-23€300kAtromitos Athens
2025-12-12€300kAtromitos Athens
2026-06-04€350kAtromitos Athens

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.368

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 25% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€350kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 10% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€350kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Karamanis appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).