FairValue

Checking model

Esc

  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
  • EnvironmentStoriesValuations, head-to-heads and research findings, told as stories.
  • TerminalPlayer ExplorerSearch, filter and sort the player export.
  • TerminalComparison StudioTwo to four players on one scale.
  • TerminalWatchlistsNamed collections, kept in this browser.
  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

↑ ↓ to move · Enter to open · Esc to closeLoading player index…

Oleksandr

Martynyuk

LBUkraine · Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

№ 719652Emerging €840k +0.58

Player dossierPremier Liha

OleksandrMartynyuk

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
24
Height
175 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Martynyuk at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Martynyuk during training, estimates €840k: the market value is 79% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.79. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.58A €840k▼ −0.02B €1.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
51
Minutes
4,211
Goals
0
Assists
2
Started
47/51
Min / app
83
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Martynyuk…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €840k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Oleksandr Martynyuk's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 52nd, Minutes, two years 73rd, Starts 76th, Minutes, last 365 days 47th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals52ndAssists73rdMinutes76thStarts47thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

92% this player83% defender median76th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Aug 2020
Peak
€2M
Jun 2025
Model target
€1.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
15
2 club changes
Jun 2026€1.5MMetalist 1925 KharkivValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.5M, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-08-18€100kVolyn Lutsk
2020-12-05€75kVolyn Lutsk
2021-06-17€125kVolyn Lutsk
2021-12-06€100kVolyn Lutsk
2022-05-18€100kVolyn Lutsk
2022-12-06€100kFC Oleksandriya
2023-06-21€100kFC Oleksandriya
2023-12-11€200kFC Oleksandriya
2024-06-06€500kFC Oleksandriya
2024-12-17€900kFC Oleksandriya
2025-03-21€1MFC Oleksandriya
2025-06-10€2MFC Oleksandriya
2025-12-18€1.8MMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2026-03-23€1.5MMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2026-06-02€1.5MMetalist 1925 Kharkiv

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.580

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 84% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 43% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Martynyuk appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).