FairValue

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Yerson

Mosquera

CBColombia · Wolverhampton Wanderers

№ 716276Elite €15.2M −0.24

Player dossierPremier League

YersonMosquera

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Wolverhampton Wanderers
League
Premier League
Nationality
Colombia
Age
25
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Mosquera at €12M. Model A, which never saw Mosquera during training, estimates €15.2M: the market value is 21% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.27. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.24A €15.2M▲ +0.89B €4.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
36
Minutes
2,927
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
33/36
Min / app
81
Cards
15Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mosquera…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €12MModel A €15.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Yerson Mosquera's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 52nd, Starts 75th, Minutes, last 365 days 75th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists52ndMinutes75thStarts75thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,485 this player1,687 defender median75th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Jan 2021
Peak
€12M
Mar 2026
Model target
€12M
Jun 2026
Valuations
14
4 club changes
Jun 2026€12MWolverhampton WanderersValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €12M, Wolverhampton Wanderers. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-01-16€200kAtlético Nacional
2021-06-07€1.7MAtlético Nacional
2021-12-23€3MWolverhampton Wanderers
2022-06-15€3MWolverhampton Wanderers
2022-11-03€3MWolverhampton Wanderers
2023-08-22€3MFC Cincinnati
2023-12-18€3.5MFC Cincinnati
2024-06-07€6MVillarreal CF
2024-12-16€8MWolverhampton Wanderers
2025-05-30€8MWolverhampton Wanderers
2025-10-17€10MWolverhampton Wanderers
2025-12-09€10MWolverhampton Wanderers
2026-03-09€12MWolverhampton Wanderers
2026-06-03€12MWolverhampton Wanderers

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.236

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 36% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 84% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Mosquera appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).