FairValue

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Portrait of Besfort Zeneli

Besfort

Zeneli

CMSweden · Union Saint-Gilloise

№ 715653Established €6.4M −0.07

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPro League

BesfortZeneli

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Union Saint-Gilloise
League
Pro League
Nationality
Sweden
Age
23
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Zeneli at €6M. Model A, which never saw Zeneli during training, estimates €6.4M: the market value is 6% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.07A €6.4M▼ −0.23B €7.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
30
Minutes
2,062
Goals
4
Assists
10
Started
22/30
Min / app
69
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Zeneli…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6MModel A €6.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Besfort Zeneli's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 78th, Assists per 90 99th, Minutes, two years 38th, Starts 58th, Minutes, last 365 days 22nd, European club minutes 100th78thGoals99thAssists38thMinutes58thStarts22ndRecent100thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

63% this player0% midfielder median100th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jun 2022
Peak
€6M
Jun 2026
Model target
€6M
Jun 2026
Valuations
10
1 club change
Jun 2026€6MUnion Saint-GilloiseValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €6M, Union Saint-Gilloise. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-06-24€25kIF Elfsborg
2022-12-14€100kIF Elfsborg
2023-06-27€250kIF Elfsborg
2023-12-08€300kIF Elfsborg
2024-06-13€300kIF Elfsborg
2024-09-26€1.5MIF Elfsborg
2024-12-20€2.5MIF Elfsborg
2025-06-18€4MIF Elfsborg
2025-11-19€4.5MIF Elfsborg
2026-06-04€6MUnion Saint-Gilloise

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.065

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 89% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 69% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Zeneli appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).