FairValue

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Portrait of Hugo Ekitiké

Hugo

Ekitiké

CFFrance · Liverpool FC

№ 709726World Class €57.8M +0.33

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

HugoEkitiké

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Liverpool FC
League
Premier League
Nationality
France
Age
23
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ekitiké at €80M. Model A, which never saw Ekitiké during training, estimates €57.8M: the market value is 38% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €49M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.33A €57.8M▲ +0.49B €49M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
93
Minutes
6,516
Goals
39
Assists
18
Started
77/93
Min / app
70
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ekitiké…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €80M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €80MModel A €57.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Hugo Ekitiké's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 91st, Assists per 90 82nd, Minutes, two years 98th, Starts 86th, Minutes, last 365 days 94th, European club minutes 90th91stGoals82ndAssists98thMinutes86thStarts94thRecent90thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

6,516 this player2,242 attacker median98th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Jan 2021
Peak
€90M
Mar 2026
Model target
€80M
Jun 2026
Valuations
19
5 club changes
Jun 2026€80MLiverpool FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €80M, Liverpool FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-01-07€400kStade Reims B
2021-06-04€600kVejle Boldklub
2021-10-08€2.5MStade Reims
2021-12-16€6MStade Reims
2022-03-23€20MStade Reims
2022-05-30€28MStade Reims
2022-11-02€25MParis Saint-Germain
2023-06-27€20MParis Saint-Germain
2023-10-16€15MParis Saint-Germain
2023-12-18€15MParis Saint-Germain
2024-05-29€20MEintracht Frankfurt
2024-10-09€30MEintracht Frankfurt
2024-12-20€40MEintracht Frankfurt
2025-03-27€55MEintracht Frankfurt
2025-06-05€75MEintracht Frankfurt
2025-10-17€85MLiverpool FC
2025-12-09€85MLiverpool FC
2026-03-09€90MLiverpool FC
2026-06-03€80MLiverpool FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.325

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 97% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€80MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 99% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€80MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ekitiké appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).