FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Oleg

Ocheretko

AMUkraine · Shakhtar Donetsk

№ 708241Established €6.1M +0.14

Player dossierPremier Liha

OlegOcheretko

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Shakhtar Donetsk
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
23
Height
181 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ocheretko at €7M. Model A, which never saw Ocheretko during training, estimates €6.1M: the market value is 15% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.14A €6.1M▼ −0.23B €8.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
64
Minutes
4,382
Goals
6
Assists
6
Started
51/64
Min / app
68
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ocheretko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €7MModel A €6.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Oleg Ocheretko's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 64th, Assists per 90 62nd, Minutes, two years 79th, Starts 70th, Minutes, last 365 days 76th, European club minutes 76th64thGoals62ndAssists79thMinutes70thStarts76thRecent76thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,382 this player2,607 midfielder median79th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Jan 2021
Peak
€7M
Jun 2026
Model target
€7M
Jun 2026
Valuations
13
4 club changes
Jun 2026€7MShakhtar DonetskValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €7M, Shakhtar Donetsk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-01-14€300kFC Mariupol
2021-06-07€500kFC Mariupol
2021-12-20€500kFC Mariupol
2022-05-18€500kFC Mariupol
2022-12-06€500kShakhtar Donetsk
2023-06-21€700kShakhtar Donetsk
2023-12-11€600kShakhtar Donetsk
2024-06-06€700kSC Dnipro-1
2024-12-17€800kKarpaty Lviv
2025-06-10€1MKarpaty Lviv
2025-09-10€2.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2025-12-18€6MShakhtar Donetsk
2026-06-02€7MShakhtar Donetsk

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.143

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 95% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 71% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ocheretko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).