FairValue

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Badredine

Bouanani

RWAlgeria · VfB Stuttgart

№ 707242Elite €18.3M −0.60

Player dossierBundesliga

BadredineBouanani

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
VfB Stuttgart
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Algeria
Age
21
Height
177 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bouanani at €10M. Model A, which never saw Bouanani during training, estimates €18.3M: the market value is 45% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.83. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €9.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.60A €18.3M▲ +0.04B €9.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
66
Minutes
2,879
Goals
7
Assists
5
Started
31/66
Min / app
44
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bouanani…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €18.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Badredine Bouanani's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 41st, Assists per 90 54th, Minutes, two years 64th, Starts 30th, Minutes, last 365 days 48th, European club minutes 98th41stGoals54thAssists64thMinutes30thStarts48thRecent98thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

40% this player0% attacker median98th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Sept 2022
Peak
€12M
Oct 2025
Model target
€10M
May 2026
Valuations
12
3 club changes
May 2026€10MVfB StuttgartValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €10M, VfB Stuttgart. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-09-19€150kOGC Nice
2022-11-02€150kOGC Nice
2023-03-27€2.5MOGC Nice
2023-06-27€6MOGC Nice
2023-12-18€6MOGC Nice
2024-03-19€5MFC Lorient
2024-06-03€5MFC Lorient
2024-12-10€5MOGC Nice
2025-06-03€7MOGC Nice
2025-10-14€12MVfB Stuttgart
2025-12-19€12MVfB Stuttgart
2026-05-27€10MVfB Stuttgart

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.604

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 65% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 77% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bouanani appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).