Figueiredo
LWBrazil · FC Alverca
Player dossierLiga Portugal
Figueiredo
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- FC Alverca
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 178 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Liga PortugalReading the valuation
The market values Figueiredo at €4M. Model A, which never saw Figueiredo during training, estimates €2M: the market value is 100% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.00. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 27
- Minutes
- 1,887
- Goals
- 6
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 24/27
- Min / app
- 70
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Figueiredo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
89% this player59% attacker median93rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Oct 2019
- Peak
- €4M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €4M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 13
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €4M, FC Alverca. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-16 | €50k | CR Vasco da Gama U20 |
| 2019-11-27 | €50k | CR Vasco da Gama U20 |
| 2020-09-09 | €50k | CR Vasco da Gama U20 |
| 2021-08-12 | €200k | CR Vasco da Gama U20 |
| 2022-08-05 | €1.2M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2023-04-07 | €1.7M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2023-07-25 | €2M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2023-12-11 | €2.5M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2024-04-18 | €2.5M | Coritiba Foot Ball Club |
| 2024-11-27 | €1.7M | Coritiba Foot Ball Club |
| 2025-06-27 | €1.4M | América Futebol Clube (MG) |
| 2025-12-18 | €1M | FC Alverca |
| 2026-05-28 | €4M | FC Alverca |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.691
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 72% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 59% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Figueiredo appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SilvaSSSL Benfica · Liga Portugal€4M
- NavarroCFSC Braga · Liga Portugal€4M
- BatistaGKCD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal€4M
- KochorashviliCMSporting CP · Liga Portugal€4M
- IcardiCFGalatasaray · attackers€4M
- WilsonCFWest Ham United · attackers€4M
- TraoréRWSunderland AFC · attackers€4M
- GrifoLWSC Freiburg · attackers€4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).