Yaroslav
Mikhailov
CMRussia · Zenit St. Petersburg
Player dossierPremier Liga
YaroslavMikhailov
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Zenit St. Petersburg
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 182 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Mikhailov at €700k. Model A, which never saw Mikhailov during training, estimates €1.7M: the market value is 58% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.41. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 35
- Minutes
- 2,413
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 27/35
- Min / app
- 69
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mikhailov…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
77% this player69% midfielder median65th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Dec 2020
- Peak
- €800k
- Nov 2022
- Model target
- €700k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 14
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €700k, Zenit St. Petersburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-12-29 | €50k | Zenit St. Petersburg II |
| 2021-06-02 | €75k | Zenit St. Petersburg II |
| 2021-10-13 | €300k | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2021-12-15 | €300k | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2022-06-16 | €300k | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2022-11-21 | €800k | FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod |
| 2023-06-14 | €800k | FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod |
| 2023-12-13 | €700k | FC Orenburg |
| 2024-06-04 | €600k | FC Orenburg |
| 2024-09-18 | €800k | FC Orenburg |
| 2024-12-12 | €800k | FC Orenburg |
| 2025-06-04 | €800k | FC Orenburg |
| 2025-12-16 | €800k | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2026-05-26 | €700k | Zenit St. Petersburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.879
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 24% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 23% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Mikhailov appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SavichevRBAkron Tolyatti · Premier Liga€700k
- TataevCBFC Orenburg · Premier Liga€700k
- KramaricLWFC Sochi · Premier Liga€700k
- AlibekovCBDinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga€700k
- RomeuDMSouthampton FC · midfielders€700k
- CoquelinDMFC Nantes · midfielders€700k
- MendyDMWatford FC · midfielders€700k
- PereyraCMAEK Athens · midfielders€700k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).