FairValue

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Portrait of Raphael Onyedika

Raphael

Onyedika

DMNigeria · Club Brugge KV

№ 699783Elite €14.9M +0.44

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPro League

RaphaelOnyedika

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Club Brugge KV
League
Pro League
Nationality
Nigeria
Age
25
Height
184 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Onyedika at €23M. Model A, which never saw Onyedika during training, estimates €14.9M: the market value is 55% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.55. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €27.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.44A €14.9M▼ −0.18B €27.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
78
Minutes
5,618
Goals
5
Assists
4
Started
65/78
Min / app
72
Cards
10Y 2R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Onyedika…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €23M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €23MModel A €14.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Raphael Onyedika's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 49th, Assists per 90 36th, Minutes, two years 92nd, Starts 76th, Minutes, last 365 days 90th, European club minutes 97th49thGoals36thAssists92ndMinutes76thStarts90thRecent97thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

32% this player0% midfielder median97th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Dec 2020
Peak
€23M
Mar 2026
Model target
€23M
Jun 2026
Valuations
18
2 club changes
Jun 2026€23MClub Brugge KVValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €23M, Club Brugge KV. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-12-23€200kFC Fredericia
2021-06-04€300kFC Fredericia
2021-10-06€1.5MFC Midtjylland
2021-12-28€3MFC Midtjylland
2022-06-20€5MFC Midtjylland
2022-09-07€8MClub Brugge KV
2022-11-04€13MClub Brugge KV
2023-03-22€10MClub Brugge KV
2023-06-09€9MClub Brugge KV
2023-12-19€8MClub Brugge KV
2024-06-04€10MClub Brugge KV
2024-10-02€16MClub Brugge KV
2024-12-11€16MClub Brugge KV
2025-03-26€20MClub Brugge KV
2025-06-12€20MClub Brugge KV
2025-12-10€20MClub Brugge KV
2026-03-13€23MClub Brugge KV
2026-06-04€23MClub Brugge KV

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.436

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Joint 7th highest observed value among 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€23MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 90% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€23MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Onyedika appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).