Ivan
Kukushkin
GKRussia · Baltika Kaliningrad
Player dossierPremier Liga
IvanKukushkin
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Baltika Kaliningrad
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 196 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Kukushkin at €300k. Model A, which never saw Kukushkin during training, estimates €881k: the market value is 66% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.94. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €802k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 9
- Minutes
- 810
- Started
- 9/9
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kukushkin…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Mar 2020
- Peak
- €300k
- May 2026
- Model target
- €300k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 15
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €300k, Baltika Kaliningrad. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-16 | €25k | Zvezda St. Petersburg |
| 2020-06-29 | €25k | Zvezda St. Petersburg |
| 2020-12-29 | €75k | Zenit 2 St. Petersburg |
| 2021-06-02 | €100k | FC Ufa II |
| 2021-12-24 | €100k | FC Ufa II |
| 2022-06-02 | €100k | FC Ufa II |
| 2022-09-12 | €175k | FC Ufa |
| 2022-12-08 | €250k | FC Ufa |
| 2023-06-19 | €200k | FC Ufa |
| 2023-12-13 | €200k | FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod |
| 2024-06-04 | €150k | FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod |
| 2024-12-12 | €150k | FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod |
| 2025-06-02 | €100k | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 2025-12-16 | €150k | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 2026-05-26 | €300k | Baltika Kaliningrad |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −1.077
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 5% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 15% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Kukushkin appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- NigmatullinGKRubin Kazan · Premier Liga€300k
- ZabolotnyiCFSpartak Moscow · Premier Liga€300k
- BayramyanAMFC Rostov · Premier Liga€300k
- LomovitskiyRWRubin Kazan · Premier Liga€300k
- MüllerGK1.FC Heidenheim 1846 · goalkeepers€300k
- MiguelGKReal Betis Balompié · goalkeepers€300k
- PaschalakisGKOlympiacos Piraeus · goalkeepers€300k
- DrewesGKBorussia Dortmund · goalkeepers€300k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).