FairValue

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Portrait of Pedri

Pedri

CMSpain · FC Barcelona

№ 683840World Class €83.3M +0.59

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLaLiga

Pedri

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Barcelona
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
23
Height
174 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pedri at €150M. Model A, which never saw Pedri during training, estimates €83.3M: the market value is 80% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.80. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €66.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.59A €83.3M▲ +0.82B €66.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
102
Minutes
7,741
Goals
8
Assists
20
Started
91/102
Min / app
76
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pedri…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €150M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €150MModel A €83.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Pedri's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 54th, Assists per 90 90th, Minutes, two years 99th, Starts 86th, Minutes, last 365 days 93rd, European club minutes 90th54thGoals90thAssists99thMinutes86thStarts93rdRecent90thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

7,741 this player2,607 midfielder median99th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€5M
Sept 2019
Peak
€150M
Mar 2026
Model target
€150M
Jun 2026
Valuations
23
1 club change
Jun 2026€150MFC BarcelonaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €150M, FC Barcelona. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-09-10€5MUD Las Palmas
2019-12-20€8MUD Las Palmas
2020-04-08€7.2MUD Las Palmas
2020-10-08€15MFC Barcelona
2020-11-23€30MFC Barcelona
2021-01-05€50MFC Barcelona
2021-03-19€70MFC Barcelona
2021-05-31€70MFC Barcelona
2021-07-15€80MFC Barcelona
2021-12-30€80MFC Barcelona
2022-06-03€80MFC Barcelona
2022-09-23€90MFC Barcelona
2022-11-07€100MFC Barcelona
2023-06-13€100MFC Barcelona
2023-12-22€90MFC Barcelona
2024-03-21€80MFC Barcelona
2024-06-07€80MFC Barcelona
2024-12-27€100MFC Barcelona
2025-03-21€120MFC Barcelona
2025-06-09€140MFC Barcelona
2025-12-12€140MFC Barcelona
2026-03-16€150MFC Barcelona
2026-06-05€150MFC Barcelona

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.588

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

3rd highest observed value among 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€150MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

The highest observed value among 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€150MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pedri appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).