Nikolas
Sattlberger
Player dossierPro League
NikolasSattlberger
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- KRC Genk
- League
- Pro League
- Nationality
- Austria
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 192 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Sattlberger at €2.2M. Model A, which never saw Sattlberger during training, estimates €3M: the market value is 27% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 54
- Minutes
- 2,374
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 26/54
- Min / app
- 44
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sattlberger…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
12% this player0% midfielder median75th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Mar 2021
- Peak
- €4M
- Dec 2024
- Model target
- €2.2M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 17
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €2.2M, KRC Genk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-23 | €100k | SK Rapid Wien II |
| 2021-05-26 | €100k | SK Rapid Wien II |
| 2021-11-28 | €100k | SK Rapid Wien II |
| 2022-05-25 | €150k | SK Rapid Wien II |
| 2022-09-20 | €300k | Rapid Vienna |
| 2022-11-10 | €400k | Rapid Vienna |
| 2023-06-05 | €350k | SK Rapid Wien II |
| 2023-09-11 | €800k | Rapid Vienna |
| 2023-12-11 | €1M | Rapid Vienna |
| 2024-03-11 | €1.5M | Rapid Vienna |
| 2024-05-21 | €1.5M | Rapid Vienna |
| 2024-10-02 | €3M | KRC Genk |
| 2024-12-11 | €4M | KRC Genk |
| 2025-06-12 | €3.5M | KRC Genk |
| 2025-12-10 | €3M | KRC Genk |
| 2026-03-13 | €2.5M | KRC Genk |
| 2026-06-04 | €2.2M | KRC Genk |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.320
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Pro League350 players · median €1.8M
Valued above 59% of the 350 Pro League players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Sattlberger appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ScottLMRoyal Antwerp FC · Pro League€2.2M
- MijatovicCFOud-Heverlee Leuven · Pro League€2.2M
- MagnéeRBCercle Brugge · Pro League€2.2M
- FerrariCFSint-Truidense VV · Pro League€2.2M
- JustvanAM1.FC Nuremberg · midfielders€2.2M
- CoulibalyCMUS Lecce · midfielders€2.2M
- SolbakkenCMAarhus GF · midfielders€2.2M
- PérezCMVenezia FC · midfielders€2.2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).