Marlon
Gomes
CMBrazil · Shakhtar Donetsk
Player dossierPremier Liha
MarlonGomes
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Shakhtar Donetsk
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 184 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 2 Jun 2026
Premier LihaReading the valuation
The market values Gomes at €12M. Model A, which never saw Gomes during training, estimates €5.2M: the market value is 130% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.30. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €13.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 61
- Minutes
- 3,655
- Goals
- 5
- Assists
- 6
- Started
- 47/61
- Min / app
- 60
- Cards
- 11Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gomes…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
22% this player0% midfielder median86th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1M
- Feb 2023
- Peak
- €12M
- Jun 2024
- Model target
- €12M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 11
- 1 club change
Jun 2026: €12M, Shakhtar Donetsk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-17 | €1M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2023-04-07 | €2M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2023-07-25 | €4M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2023-12-11 | €6M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2024-03-18 | €10M | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2024-06-06 | €12M | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2024-12-17 | €10M | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2025-06-10 | €10M | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2025-12-18 | €10M | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2026-03-23 | €12M | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2026-06-02 | €12M | Shakhtar Donetsk |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.833
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
Joint 2nd highest observed value among 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 81% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Gomes appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MatvienkoCBShakhtar Donetsk · Premier Liha€12M
- PonomarenkoCFDynamo Kyiv · Premier Liha€12M
- IsaqueAMShakhtar Donetsk · Premier Liha€11M
- PedrinhoRWShakhtar Donetsk · Premier Liha€10M
- GoretzkaCMBayern Munich · midfielders€12M
- SzymanskiAMStade Rennais FC · midfielders€12M
- CamaraCMStade Rennais FC · midfielders€12M
- OdgaardAMBologna FC 1909 · midfielders€12M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).