FairValue

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Ahmet

Aslan

DMTürkiye · Bodrum FK

№ 667749Emerging €570k +0.34

Player dossierSüper Lig

AhmetAslan

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Bodrum FK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
24
Height
179 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Aslan at €800k. Model A, which never saw Aslan during training, estimates €570k: the market value is 40% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.40. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €593k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.34A €570k▲ +0.30B €593k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
22
Minutes
1,191
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
14/22
Min / app
54
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Aslan…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €570k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Ahmet Aslan's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 46th, Assists per 90 42nd, Minutes, two years 18th, Starts 39th, Minutes, last 365 days 16th, European club minutes 30th46thGoals42ndAssists18thMinutes39thStarts16thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.08 this player0.08 midfielder median46th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Nov 2021
Peak
€900k
Mar 2025
Model target
€800k
Dec 2025
Valuations
13
3 club changes
Dec 2025€800kBodrum FKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €800k, Bodrum FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-11-09€100kMenemenspor
2022-01-17€100kMenemenspor
2022-06-10€75kMenemenspor
2023-01-05€25kMenemen FK
2023-06-26€100kBucaspor 1928
2023-12-29€200kBucaspor 1928
2024-03-26€350kBodrum FK
2024-06-13€450kBodrum FK
2024-10-04€450kBodrum FK
2024-12-23€750kBodrum FK
2025-03-20€900kBodrum FK
2025-06-18€800kBodrum FK
2025-12-29€800kBodrum FK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.340

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 33% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 27% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Aslan appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).