Hugo
Bolin
LWSweden · Borussia Mönchengladbach
Player dossierBundesliga
HugoBolin
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Sweden
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 179 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Bolin at €6M. Model A, which never saw Bolin during training, estimates €7.3M: the market value is 18% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 26
- Minutes
- 1,532
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 17/26
- Min / app
- 59
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bolin…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
64% this player0% attacker median99th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €500k
- Jun 2023
- Peak
- €6M
- Jun 2025
- Model target
- €6M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 8
- 1 club change
May 2026: €6M, Borussia Mönchengladbach. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-27 | €500k | Malmö FF |
| 2023-12-08 | €800k | Malmö FF |
| 2024-06-13 | €1.5M | Malmö FF |
| 2024-09-26 | €4M | Malmö FF |
| 2024-12-20 | €5M | Malmö FF |
| 2025-06-18 | €6M | Malmö FF |
| 2025-11-19 | €6M | Malmö FF |
| 2026-05-27 | €6M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.197
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 53% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 68% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bolin appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SabitzerCMBorussia Dortmund · Bundesliga€6M
- FlekkenGKBayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga€6M
- AndrichDMBayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga€6M
- PoschCB1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga€6M
- LukakuCFSSC Napoli · attackers€6M
- MorataCFComo 1907 · attackers€6M
- AkpomCFIpswich Town · attackers€6M
- TraoréRWWest Ham United · attackers€6M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).