Jaden
Philogene
LWEngland · Ipswich Town
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
JadenPhilogene
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- Ipswich Town
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- England
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 181 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 3 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Philogene at €18M. Model A, which never saw Philogene during training, estimates €6.3M: the market value is 185% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.85. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 25
- Minutes
- 997
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 9/25
- Min / app
- 40
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Philogene…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €18M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
12% this player0% attacker median73rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €500k
- Jun 2021
- Peak
- €18M
- Mar 2025
- Model target
- €18M
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 13
- 7 club changes
Dec 2025: €18M, Ipswich Town. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-08 | €500k | Aston Villa U23 |
| 2021-12-23 | €500k | Aston Villa |
| 2022-05-13 | €3M | Stoke City |
| 2022-10-27 | €2.5M | Cardiff City |
| 2023-06-01 | €2.8M | Aston Villa |
| 2023-10-27 | €5M | Hull City |
| 2023-12-21 | €8M | Hull City |
| 2024-03-07 | €12M | Hull City |
| 2024-05-24 | €15M | Hull City |
| 2024-12-16 | €15M | Aston Villa |
| 2025-03-18 | €18M | Ipswich Town |
| 2025-05-30 | €16M | Ipswich Town |
| 2025-12-03 | €18M | Ipswich Town |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.046
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 50% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 85% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Philogene appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- TrossardLWArsenal FC · Premier League€18M
- AinaRBNottingham Forest · Premier League€18M
- VicarioGKTottenham Hotspur · Premier League€18M
- RodonCBLeeds United · Premier League€18M
- GnabrySSBayern Munich · attackers€18M
- SørlothCFAtlético de Madrid · attackers€18M
- SchickCFBayer 04 Leverkusen · attackers€18M
- AbrahamCFAston Villa · attackers€18M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).