Juan
CFBrazil · Göztepe
Player dossierSüper Lig
Juan
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Göztepe
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 181 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Juan at €12M. Model A, which never saw Juan during training, estimates €9.6M: the market value is 25% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.25. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €9.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 58
- Minutes
- 4,249
- Goals
- 18
- Assists
- 10
- Started
- 51/58
- Min / app
- 73
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Juan…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
88% this player59% attacker median92nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €500k
- May 2021
- Peak
- €12M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €12M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 16
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €12M, Göztepe. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-28 | €500k | Unknown |
| 2022-04-06 | €1M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2022-08-19 | €1M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2022-11-14 | €1M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2023-04-07 | €1M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2023-07-25 | €1M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2023-12-11 | €1M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2024-03-28 | €1M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2024-06-17 | €800k | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2024-10-04 | €800k | Göztepe |
| 2024-12-23 | €1.9M | Göztepe |
| 2025-03-20 | €2.5M | Göztepe |
| 2025-06-18 | €2.5M | Göztepe |
| 2025-12-17 | €4M | Göztepe |
| 2026-03-05 | €8M | Göztepe |
| 2026-05-21 | €12M | Göztepe |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.224
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 94% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 79% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Juan appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BrownLBFenerbahce · Süper Lig€12M
- TouréLWBesiktas JK · Süper Lig€13M
- MuciAMTrabzonspor · Süper Lig€11M
- BatagovCBTrabzonspor · Süper Lig€11M
- MurphyRWNewcastle United · attackers€12M
- FührichLWVfB Stuttgart · attackers€12M
- BrooksRWAFC Bournemouth · attackers€12M
- GudmundssonSSACF Fiorentina · attackers€12M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).