FairValue

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David Møller

Wolfe

LBNorway · Wolverhampton Wanderers

№ 661427Established €15.9M −0.69

Player dossierPremier League

David MøllerWolfe

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Wolverhampton Wanderers
League
Premier League
Nationality
Norway
Age
24
Height
185 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Wolfe at €8M. Model A, which never saw Wolfe during training, estimates €15.9M: the market value is 50% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.99. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €18.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.69A €15.9M▼ −0.83B €18.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
71
Minutes
5,054
Goals
5
Assists
10
Started
58/71
Min / app
71
Cards
10Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Wolfe…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €8MModel A €15.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

David Møller Wolfe's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 83rd, Assists per 90 93rd, Minutes, two years 84th, Starts 48th, Minutes, last 365 days 38th, European club minutes 81st83rdGoals93rdAssists84thMinutes48thStarts38thRecent81stEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.18 this player0.04 defender median93rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2020
Peak
€12M
Oct 2025
Model target
€8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
14
4 club changes
Jun 2026€8MWolverhampton WanderersValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €8M, Wolverhampton Wanderers. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-07-24€50kÅsane Fotball
2020-12-31€200kSK Brann II
2022-01-03€400kSK Brann
2022-12-09€1MSK Brann
2023-06-29€2.5MSK Brann
2023-10-17€4MAZ Alkmaar
2023-12-15€5MAZ Alkmaar
2024-05-31€4.5MAZ Alkmaar
2024-12-17€4.5MAZ Alkmaar
2025-03-28€6MAZ Alkmaar
2025-05-28€9MAZ Alkmaar
2025-10-17€12MWolverhampton Wanderers
2025-12-09€10MWolverhampton Wanderers
2026-06-03€8MWolverhampton Wanderers

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.686

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 27% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 78% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Wolfe appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).