FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Elye

Wahi

CFCote d'Ivoire · OGC Nice

№ 659542Elite €6M +1.10

Player dossierLigue 1

ElyeWahi

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
OGC Nice
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Cote d'Ivoire
Age
23
Height
181 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Wahi at €18M. Model A, which never saw Wahi during training, estimates €6M: the market value is 200% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×3.00. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.10A €6M▲ +0.91B €7.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
52
Minutes
2,118
Goals
9
Assists
5
Started
22/52
Min / app
41
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Wahi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €18M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €18MModel A €6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Elye Wahi's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 74th, Assists per 90 74th, Minutes, two years 48th, Starts 24th, Minutes, last 365 days 51st, European club minutes 62nd74thGoals74thAssists48thMinutes24thStarts51stRecent62ndEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.21 this player0.15 attacker median74th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€3M
Mar 2021
Peak
€40M
Oct 2023
Model target
€18M
Jun 2026
Valuations
19
4 club changes
Jun 2026€18MOGC NiceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €18M, OGC Nice. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-03-09€3MMontpellier HSC
2021-06-04€5MMontpellier HSC
2021-12-16€6MMontpellier HSC
2022-03-23€8MMontpellier HSC
2022-05-30€12MMontpellier HSC
2022-09-19€14MMontpellier HSC
2022-11-02€18MMontpellier HSC
2023-03-27€25MMontpellier HSC
2023-06-27€35MMontpellier HSC
2023-10-16€40MRC Lens
2023-12-18€40MRC Lens
2024-03-19€35MRC Lens
2024-06-03€35MRC Lens
2024-10-07€30MOlympique Marseille
2024-12-10€25MOlympique Marseille
2025-06-05€22MEintracht Frankfurt
2025-10-14€18MEintracht Frankfurt
2025-12-19€12MEintracht Frankfurt
2026-06-01€18MOGC Nice

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.098

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 82% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 85% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Wahi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).