FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
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  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

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Nodar

Lominadze

CMGeorgia · GD Estoril Praia

№ 658815Emerging €707k −0.01

Player dossierLiga Portugal

NodarLominadze

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
GD Estoril Praia
League
Liga Portugal
Nationality
Georgia
Age
24
Height
194 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Lominadze at €700k. Model A, which never saw Lominadze during training, estimates €707k: the market value is 1% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €731k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.01A €707k▼ −0.04B €731k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
16
Minutes
645
Goals
2
Assists
0
Started
8/16
Min / app
40
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lominadze…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €707k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Nodar Lominadze's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 92nd, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 4th, Starts 21st, Minutes, last 365 days 17th, European club minutes 30th92ndGoals8thAssists4thMinutes21stStarts17thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.28 this player0.08 midfielder median92nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
May 2021
Peak
€700k
Sept 2025
Model target
€700k
May 2026
Valuations
14
7 club changes
May 2026€700kGD Estoril PraiaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €700k, GD Estoril Praia. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-05-01€50kDinamo Tbilisi II
2021-10-01€50kDinamo Tbilisi II
2022-05-05€250kDinamo Tbilisi
2022-10-20€250kFC Gagra
2023-05-25€300kFC Samgurali Tskaltubo
2023-09-01€350kFC Samgurali Tskaltubo
2023-12-12€350kFC Samgurali Tskaltubo
2024-05-22€300kDinamo Tbilisi
2024-09-25€300kFC Dila Gori
2024-12-23€400kFC Dila Gori
2025-05-26€500kDinamo Tbilisi
2025-09-30€700kGD Estoril Praia
2025-12-18€700kGD Estoril Praia
2026-05-28€700kGD Estoril Praia

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.009

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M

Valued above 33% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 23% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Lominadze appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).