FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Portrait of Bilal El Khannouss

Bilal El

Khannouss

AMMorocco · VfB Stuttgart

№ 654982World Class €33.1M +0.05

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierBundesliga

Bilal ElKhannouss

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
VfB Stuttgart
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Morocco
Age
22
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Khannouss at €35M. Model A, which never saw Khannouss during training, estimates €33.1M: the market value is 6% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €24M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.05A €33.1M▲ +0.38B €24M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
76
Minutes
4,989
Goals
11
Assists
13
Started
59/76
Min / app
66
Cards
15Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Khannouss…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €35M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €35MModel A €33.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Bilal El Khannouss's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 83rd, Assists per 90 90th, Minutes, two years 86th, Starts 66th, Minutes, last 365 days 82nd, European club minutes 76th83rdGoals90thAssists86thMinutes66thStarts82ndRecent76thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.23 this player0.09 midfielder median90th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
May 2022
Peak
€35M
May 2026
Model target
€35M
May 2026
Valuations
13
3 club changes
May 2026€35MVfB StuttgartValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €35M, VfB Stuttgart. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-05-26€100kKRC Genk U21
2022-09-07€3.5MKRC Genk
2022-11-04€4.5MKRC Genk
2023-03-22€11MKRC Genk
2023-06-09€13MKRC Genk
2023-10-23€18MKRC Genk
2023-12-19€22MKRC Genk
2024-03-22€25MKRC Genk
2024-06-04€30MKRC Genk
2024-12-16€30MLeicester City
2025-05-30€28MLeicester City
2025-12-19€32MVfB Stuttgart
2026-05-27€35MVfB Stuttgart

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.055

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 92% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€35MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 95% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€35MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Khannouss appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).