FairValue

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Martin

Vitík

CBCzech Republic · Bologna FC 1909

№ 652054Elite €11.9M +0.09

Player dossierSerie A

MartinVitík

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Bologna FC 1909
League
Serie A
Nationality
Czech Republic
Age
23
Height
193 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Vitík at €13M. Model A, which never saw Vitík during training, estimates €11.9M: the market value is 9% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.09. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.09A €11.9M▲ +0.54B €7.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
43
Minutes
3,188
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
35/43
Min / app
74
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Vitík…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €13M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €13MModel A €11.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Martin Vitík's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 56th, Starts 47th, Minutes, last 365 days 64th, European club minutes 99th18thGoals17thAssists56thMinutes47thStarts64thRecent99thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

56% this player0% defender median99th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Dec 2020
Peak
€15M
Sept 2024
Model target
€13M
May 2026
Valuations
17
2 club changes
May 2026€13MBologna FC 1909Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €13M, Bologna FC 1909. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-12-27€200kAC Sparta Prague U19
2021-04-19€1MAC Sparta Prague
2021-06-25€1.5MAC Sparta Prague
2021-12-26€1.5MAC Sparta Prague
2022-06-22€2.2MAC Sparta Prague
2022-12-14€2.2MAC Sparta Prague
2023-06-20€2.5MAC Sparta Prague
2023-09-20€3.5MAC Sparta Prague
2023-12-20€5MAC Sparta Prague
2024-03-27€9MAC Sparta Prague
2024-06-05€12MAC Sparta Prague
2024-09-27€15MAC Sparta Prague
2024-12-20€15MAC Sparta Prague
2025-04-01€13MAC Sparta Prague
2025-06-17€11MAC Sparta Prague
2025-12-23€10MBologna FC 1909
2026-05-29€13MBologna FC 1909

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.086

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 72% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€13MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 86% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€13MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Vitík appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).