FairValue

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Portrait of Enzo Fernández

Enzo

Fernández

CMArgentina · Chelsea FC

№ 648195World Class €80.8M +0.11

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

EnzoFernández

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Chelsea FC
League
Premier League
Nationality
Argentina
Age
25
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Fernández at €90M. Model A, which never saw Fernández during training, estimates €80.8M: the market value is 11% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €88.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.11A €80.8M▲ +0.02B €88.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
99
Minutes
7,877
Goals
22
Assists
18
Started
87/99
Min / app
80
Cards
21Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Fernández…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €90M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €90MModel A €80.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Enzo Fernández's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 89th, Assists per 90 85th, Minutes, two years 99th, Starts 83rd, Minutes, last 365 days 100th, European club minutes 80th89thGoals85thAssists99thMinutes83rdStarts100thRecent80thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

4,800 this player1,541 midfielder median100th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€4M
Feb 2021
Peak
€90M
Mar 2026
Model target
€90M
Jun 2026
Valuations
18
3 club changes
Jun 2026€90MChelsea FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €90M, Chelsea FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-02-08€4MDefensa y Justicia
2021-06-11€5MDefensa y Justicia
2021-10-20€5MCA River Plate
2022-02-08€6.5MCA River Plate
2022-05-24€15MCA River Plate
2022-09-16€20MSL Benfica
2022-11-01€35MSL Benfica
2022-12-23€55MSL Benfica
2023-03-16€85MChelsea FC
2023-06-20€80MChelsea FC
2023-12-19€80MChelsea FC
2024-05-27€75MChelsea FC
2024-12-16€75MChelsea FC
2025-05-30€75MChelsea FC
2025-10-17€80MChelsea FC
2025-12-09€85MChelsea FC
2026-03-09€90MChelsea FC
2026-06-03€90MChelsea FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.108

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Joint 9th highest observed value among 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€90MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 99% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€90MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Fernández appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).